Ravens News 11/18: Houdini and more

Ravens vs. Panthers Scouting Report For Week 11: Who Comes Out On Top? – Baby walker for children

The Ravens will face a defense ranked 27th in the Passing DVOA, according to Football Outsiders. The Panthers have a gifted young cornerback in Jaycee Horn, a powerful defensive tackle in Derrick Brown, and a prolific edge rusher in Brian Burns (seven sacks, 12 QB hits), but they’re struggling to cover tight ends and are up 19th third place to achieve defense. They rank ninth in flash rate, so Jackson will have an opportunity to attack them with quick throws and maybe land some deep shots.

The Panthers are last in passing DVOA, and Mayfield lost the starting quarterback job after five weeks and only regained it for that game because PJ Walker suffered a sprained ankle.

Former Maryland star DJ Moore (478 yards, three touchdowns) is their most dynamic threat but has been fickle, catching just over half the balls thrown to him. The Panthers’ tackles and guards rank decently as pass blockers, but they’ll look to hold the fortress against a Ravens pass rush, which has waned in recent weeks.

The Ravens won three straight games before being given a day off last weekend, and they’re a strong, confident team with a clear path to a division championship and a return to the postseason. They’ve traditionally run their business against teams they were supposed to beat, with Jackson at quarterback and Harbaugh as head coach.

Brian Burns hopes to keep Lamar Jackson in the ‘phone booth’ – Gantt & Stone

“I haven’t. Not the way it was,” Burns admitted when asked if he thought Jackson’s game would be translated as it is. “Not as dominant as it is. He was dominant in college and I didn’t think he would be as dominant in college as he is in the NFL, but he is.”

That makes his defense a collective effort.

The Panthers’ interim defensive coordinator Al Holcomb referred to the Ravens quarterback as “Houdini in a helmet,” and Burns said stopping Jackson from escaping was a top priority this week.

“Balanced rush lanes, pretty much just stick him in a phone booth and don’t let him out,” Burns said. “And you must have 10 of your boys behind you. . . .

“When you’re in a rush you don’t want the bag to stretch because that gives it the creases to hit. But when you put him in a phone booth and it condenses and you have a lot of bodies around him, it’s hard to get out of there. You can only get out if you go back.”

Burns is hoping one of the 10 guys coming behind him could be safety Jeremy Chinn, who trained again on Thursday and could return. They haven’t added Chinn to the active roster yet, but if they do, it will help.

“If anyone wants to get him, I’ll bet my money on Chinn,” Burns said. “So it would be good to have him back there in case something goes wrong.”

Week 11 NFL Game Picks: Titans Top Packers on Thursday Night; Cowboys end Vikings’ winning streak – Gregg Rosenthal

Baltimore Ravens 27, Carolina Panther 13

The Panthers have been 2-3 since Steve Wilks took over, with their three competitive games all against division opponents. The Ravens are well-equipped to force Baker Mayfield into wrong decisions and knock out his passes with their monster front. The Baltimore offense, meanwhile, has shown more cohesion in his running block since Ronnie Stanley returned. The Ravens are now the team we’ve been expecting all along.

NFL Week 11 Tips and Predictions – Dalton Miller

Carolina Panthers vs. Baltimore Ravens

Carolina has been figuring out how to be somewhat entertaining in the past few weeks, which is a far cry from where they were at the start of the season.

Baltimore was one of the best teams in the league. According to the Football Outsiders DVOA, they are good on offense (3rd), defense (12th), and special teams (1st). They’ve had the lead in every fourth quarter this season. Both her passing attack and running game are excellent, and her defense continues to improve as the season progresses.

Ravens 27, Panthers 17

Week 11 NFL picks against the spread – Sheil Kapadia

Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens (-13)

Coming off a bye, the Ravens look like a team about to go for a run. Their next four games are against the Panthers, Jaguars, Broncos and Steelers. The Ravens have the lightest remaining roster in the NFL, according to Inpredictable, which measures roster strength by looking at teams from betting markets. At 6-3, they’re a game away from the top seeds, but Baltimore would lose the head-to-head tiebreaker to both the Dolphins and Bills.

The Panthers are 2-3 with Steve Wilks as head coach and beat the Falcons last Thursday night. But with Lamar Jackson, the Ravens are a double-digit favorite going 7-3-1 against the spread. I like it when the Ravens win big.

The Choice: Ravens (-13)

NFL picks against the spread – Vic Tafur

Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens (-13)

The Panthers (0-4) and Raiders (0-5) are the only teams without road wins and that should remain the case this week. The Ravens, as we predicted, have won three straight games, the last two, and their defense is getting healthier and meaner. And Justin Houston seems to have found the fountain of youth — his 8.5 sacks are the third-highest by a player in a team’s first nine games of their season aged 33 or older, and Houston has only played in six games.

That’s a bad matchup for a suspect offensive line – or still is? – and Baker Mayfield, back at QB due to PJ Walker’s injury. And it doesn’t get any better on the other side of the ball, where the Panthers rank 22nd on EPA adjusted run defense. Ravens RB Gus Edwards has returned to training and Kenyan Drake is running great, adding to what Jackson brings. (And Ravens No. 1 passing target tight end Mark Andrews also returned to practice Wednesday.)

There’s a reason Jackson is considered a double-digit favorite at 8-2 against the spread. The Ravens run from teams and then punish fools like Dalton (last week) and Mayfield.

The pick: Raven’s -13

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